In Today’s Issue: Head-to-head, no area school district made greater gains than … Fredericksburg? Welcome Vanessa Sekinger to the Advance! Clay Jones returns. Correction.
In an Independent Analysis of SOL Scores
the City Shines
by Matt Hurt
Editor’s Note: Now that the most-recent SOL data is available, the Advance has received several requests for a deep dive into results for Fredericksburg, Spotsylvania, and Stafford. We contacted Matt Hurt, a leading authority on Virginia SOL scores, and asked him to parse the data and tell us what he finds.
Today we are pleased to publish his interpretation of area districts’ performance. (Full Disclosure: FXBG Advance’s Editor-in-Chief is a social studies teacher at James Monroe High School. To ensure objectivity, he had no role in Hurt’s research or writing.)
Despite the fact that there was a sense of a return to normalcy last year, SOL performance across the state remained relatively flat from 2022 to 2023. The table below displays a modest increase in math performance, and a slight decrease in reading performance.
Table 1 Virginia SOL Outcomes All Grade Levels
The performance of local school divisions mirror the state results in that math performance improved more than reading performance.
As demonstrated in Table 2, however, Fredericksburg is a standout. Its students’ outcomes improved more than students demonstrated in either Spotsylvania or Stafford counties, and significantly more than the state average. Fredericksburg’s overall pass rate difference was nearly three times the state average.
Table 2 Fredericksburg, Spotsylvania, and Stafford SOL Outcomes All Grade Levels
Not only did Fredericksburg realize the most improvement among these three divisions overall, but it realized greater gains or smaller declines among most subgroups in reading and math. The lone exception was the Hispanic subgroup in math, where Stafford students realized slightly better improvement.
Table 3 Fredericksburg, Spotsylvania, and Stafford Reading and Math SOL Outcomes by Subgroup
Another means by which to evaluate school or division performance is to conduct a comparative analysis. This often yields more relevant statistics, as relative measures of performance control for differences in assessments, cut scores, and other factors that impact overall pass rates from year to year. The difference in pass-rate ranking within the state is a valuable measure of improvement of student outcomes from year to year.
As shown in Table 4, Fredericksburg not only realized the greatest improvement in overall pass rate among itself, Spotsylvania, and Stafford, but it also improved the most in state ranking, outperforming its two neighboring divisions rankings from 2022 to 2023. Stafford maintained the same rank over that time period, while six other divisions surpassed Spotsylvania’s performance.
Table 4 Fredericksburg, Spotsylvania, and Stafford Overall SOL Pass Rate and State Ranking Difference from 2022 to 2023
While compared to local school divisions Fredericksburg’s improvement of student outcomes is significant, that division still has a long way to go.
Compared with the rest of the state, Fredericksburg earned the 30th best gains in overall SOL pass rates from 2022 to 2023. However, the improvement in state ranking of overall pass rates was 50th.
For comparison, Table 5 displays the top five divisions that earned the greatest difference in overall SOL pass rates and state ranking of SOL pass rates from 2022 to 2023.
Table 5 2023 Top Five Divisions in Overall SOL Pass Rate and State Ranking Improvement
In order to provide additional perspective into the change in performance of Fredericksburg, it is helpful to review the comparisons of the ten lowest performing divisions in 2022. The results from 2022 and 2023 demonstrate that more of these divisions earned higher pass rate gains than Fredericksburg, while this division realized roughly average gains in state ranking.
Table 6 SOL Performance Difference of the Lowest Ten Performing Divisions in 2022
Any way you slice it, Fredericksburg demonstrated the most improvement of any local school division from 2022 to 2023.
Student outcomes improved significantly overall in math, in reading, and in almost every subgroup. Relative to the other divisions across the state that performed similarly in 2022, Fredericksburg’s improvement was average or slightly below.
The journey of a thousand miles begins with the first step, and if the educators in this division can maintain the forward momentum, their students will certainly benefit.
Matt Hurt is the Director at Comprehensive Instructional Program in Wise, Virginia. Reach him at [email protected].
Welcome to FXBG Advance, Vanessa Sekinger!
FXBG Advance is pleased to welcome Vanessa Sekinger to our staff as the first Books & Culture Editor. Vanessa will manage the book reviewers you’ve come to know and love, as well as our new theater critic. In addition, look for her to write columns about books, music, travel, or whatever tickles her fancy in the world of Fredericksburg culture. We’ve asked her to say a few words to our readers, which follow. Welcome, Vanessa!
When I came to Fredericksburg to attend Mary Washington College, I knew I found my home. Since then, I have been an educator in the Fredericksburg area teaching students at every level from kindergarteners through graduate students. At each level, my focus has been on reading and writing. It is my passion and my purpose to help any student develop literacy. Outside of work, I love to spend time with my husband and kids, walk with my dog, travel anywhere, read (of course), do yoga, spend time outside, visit family and friends, eat at local restaurants, and plan my next trip.
Clay Jones Returns
Watch your email at 5:00 pm today, when Clay Jones’ latest political cartoon hits your afternoon inbox. Share the excitement, and laughs, by inviting a friend to read the Advance.
Correction
Martin Davis’ column on Wednesday inaccurately stated that Joel Griffin had not produced any commercials related to book bans in Spotsylvania County. In fact, Griffin recently released the commercial “Libraries.” The Advance regrets the error.
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-Martin Davis, Editor
